[ FreeCourseWeb ] Adversarial Risk Analysis

[ FreeCourseWeb.com ] Adversarial Risk Analysis

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David L. Banks (et al.) | 2016 | ISBN: 1498712398 | English | 224 pages | PDF | 5 MB
Winner of the 2017 De Groot Prize awarded by the International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA)

A relatively new area of research, adversarial risk analysis (ARA) informs decision making when there are intelligent opponents and uncertain outcomes. Adversarial Risk Analysis develops methods for allocating defensive or offensive resources against intelligent adversaries. Many examples throughout illustrate the application of the ARA approach to a variety of games and strategic situations.

• Focuses on the recent subfield of decision analysis, ARA
• Compares ideas from decision theory and game theory
• Uses multi-agent influence diagrams (MAIDs) throughout to help readers visualize complex information structures
• Applies the ARA approach to simultaneous games, auctions, sequential games, and defend-attack games
• Contains an extended case study based on a real application in railway security, which provides a blueprint for how to perform ARA in similar security situations
• Includes exercises at the end of most chapters, with selected solutions at the back of the book

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